Performance

Long Term Forecasts (As on 15^th July, 2015)

1. Buy view on Dow Jones [DJI rose from 15303 to 17800 when exit call was given] - 27 May, 2013 (Link, Exit Link) ✔
2. Dollar bottom formed [Dollar Index rose from 80 to over 100 in next 1.5 years] – 4 Nov, 2013 ( Link) ✔
3. Nifty will be above 7000 in 2014 from current 6225 [It crossed 7000 in May 2014] – 1 Dec, 2013 ( Link) ✔
4. Gold in bearish phase - may fall to $1000/800 from current 1268 (Now it is 1154) - 27 May, 2014 ( Link) ✔
5. Gold can fall to INR 25k to 18k from current 27k [Gold made a low of 25164 after that in Nov 2014] – 29 May, 2014 ( Link) ✔
6. EURUSD may fall to 1.14 - 1.0 by 2015 [Made a low of 1.049 in 2015 and is near 1.10 now] - May 30, 2014 ( Link) ✔
7. Dow Jones may fall to 13000 [A wrong call, and a reverse call was given on 10 Sep, 2014] - 6 Aug, 2014 (Link 1, Link 2) ✗ ✔
8. Nifty long term target 9000 from current 6483 [Crossed 9000 in March 2015] – 20 Mar, 2014 (Link) ✔
9. Rupee may depreciate to 63.5/67 from current 61.5 [Reached 63.5 in Dec, 2014 - 30 Sep, 2014 ( Link) ✔
10. Gold is near long term bottom USD1150 [Gold stayed above this level for last six months though it is again near this level now] - 13 Feb, 2015 ( Link) ✔
11. Crude is near long term bottom at USD45 [Crude has not broken this since last six months] - 15 Feb, 2015 ( Link) ✔
12. Equities exit alert at Nifty 8570 [Nifty fell over 600 points after that] - 23 Mar, 2015 ( Link) ✔
13. Equities re-enter at Nifty 7980 [Nifty has risen to near 8500 now] – 13 Jun, 2015 ( Link) ✔

Nifty Tracked Accurately
I had forecast in March 2014 that Nifty may rise to 9000 by 2016, though the target reached quite earlier than that. During the several ups and downs since then, I maintained a bullish view on equities till March 2015. Between these two recommendations, Nifty rose from 6483 to 8570 (32% rise). My recommendations on key events during this period can be seen on this link – Nifty Tracked. All related reports can be seen at my employer’s site at - http://www.rrfinance.com/Reserch/ResearchHome.aspx

Analysis
Auto sector (Link)

Trading
Though I have not summarized performance of my trading recommendations, but one can see on this blog that it is highly profitable with above 80% success rate.

Portfolio Management

1. Over 82% equity portfolio returns in 7 months since launch in April 2014 (Link 1, Link 2)
2. Achieved #1 to #15 rankings for Escorts funds during 2009 as CIO.

PS: The core of my analysis for all these forecasts is a proprietary algorithm, the analysis given by me (if any) on blog or elsewhere is supportive.

Contact Me - For hedging, trend forecasting, investing, or trading @ rajesh.op.sharma@gmail.com